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| Date | Setup | Entry / Exit | Allocation | 2W / 3D | 3D confirmation | Charts | Return | Status |
|---|
This strategy uses the 2-week DSS Bressert to define the market regime, then the 3-day Bressert to time entries and exits. 3-day MACD and RSI confirm momentum. Only two setups are tradable: continuation and early reversal.
2W bullish. 3D bullish or extended. Constructive 3D MACD. RSI above 50. Standard allocation: 100%.
2W bottoming or newly bullish. 3D turns up from below 20. Start at 50%; increase to 75% as momentum confirms.
The 2W chart answers whether the environment is worth trading. The 3D chart answers whether momentum is turning in our favor now.
No setup means no trade. The goal is not more signals—it is fewer, higher-quality decisions with clear rules.
| # | Entry | Exit | Setup | Alloc. | Entry BTC | Exit BTC | BTC return | Portfolio return | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 10, 2019 | Mar 28, 2019 | B | 75% | $3,600 | $4,115 | +14.3% | +10.7% | $11,073 |
| 2 | Apr 5, 2019 | May 2, 2019 | A | 100% | $5,000 | $5,600 | +12.0% | +12.0% | $12,402 |
| 3 | May 11, 2019 | Jun 14, 2019 | A | 100% | $7,000 | $10,000 | +42.9% | +42.9% | $17,722 |
| 4 | Jun 20, 2019 | Jul 10, 2019 | A | 100% | $10,200 | $13,200 | +29.4% | +29.4% | $22,933 |
| 5 | Dec 18, 2019 | Jan 14, 2020 | B | 75% | $7,200 | $8,800 | +22.2% | +16.7% | $26,752 |
| 6 | Feb 6, 2020 | Mar 9, 2020 | A | 100% | $9,200 | $6,070 | −34.0% | −34.0% | $17,656 |
| 7 | Apr 3, 2020 | Jun 1, 2020 | B | 75% | $7,100 | $10,380 | +46.2% | +34.6% | $23,769 |
| 8 | Jul 22, 2020 | Sep 3, 2020 | A | 100% | $9,500 | $10,620 | +11.8% | +11.8% | $26,574 |
| 9 | Oct 9, 2020 | Dec 18, 2020 | A | 100% | $11,500 | $20,070 | +74.5% | +74.5% | $46,370 |
| 10 | Jan 3, 2021 | Feb 2, 2021 | A | 100% | $32,000 | $33,000 | +3.1% | +3.1% | $47,808 |
| 11 | Feb 8, 2021 | Mar 13, 2021 | A | 100% | $36,000 | $52,100 | +44.7% | +44.7% | $69,179 |
| 12 | Apr 9, 2021 | May 9, 2021 | A | 100% | $57,500 | $54,500 | −5.2% | −5.2% | $65,582 |
| 13 | Jul 21, 2021 | Sep 7, 2021 | B | 75% | $34,000 | $46,000 | +35.3% | +26.5% | $82,946 |
| 14 | Sep 12, 2021 | Nov 9, 2021 | A | 100% | $44,000 | $62,000 | +40.9% | +40.9% | $116,873 |
| 15 | Nov 10, 2022 | Dec 14, 2022 | B | 50% | $18,200 | $15,400 | −15.4% | −7.7% | $107,874 |
| 16 | Dec 20, 2022 | Feb 15, 2023 | B | 50% | $16,800 | $23,800 | +41.7% | +20.8% | $130,313 |
| 17 | Mar 13, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | A | 100% | $22,000 | $28,000 | +27.3% | +27.3% | $165,889 |
| 18 | Feb 12, 2024 | Apr 8, 2024 | A | 100% | $43,000 | $67,000 | +55.8% | +55.8% | $258,457 |
| 19 | Sep 18, 2024 | Dec 16, 2024 | B | 75% | $54,000 | $94,700 | +75.4% | +56.6% | $404,718 |
| 20 | Jan 13, 2025 | Feb 12, 2025 | A | 100% | $102,000 | $99,960 | −2.0% | −2.0% | $396,624 |
| 21 | Apr 9, 2025 | Jun 9, 2025 | B | 75% | $84,000 | $105,000 | +25.0% | +18.8% | $470,997 |
| 22 | Jun 15, 2025 | Aug 12, 2025 | A | 100% | $105,000 | $115,000 | +9.5% | +9.5% | $515,742 |
| 23 | Mar 12, 2026 | May 15, 2026 | B | 50% | $68,000 | $80,000 | +17.6% | +8.8% | ~$561,000 |
Scenario A — continuation: 2W bullish + 3D bullish or extended + constructive 3D MACD + 3D RSI above 50. Best quality is MACD bullish-expanding and RSI above 50 rising. Standard allocation 100%.
Scenario B — early reversal: 2W bottoming or newly bullish + 3D bottoming/bullish from below 20. Start 50%; upgrade to 75% with improving/constructive 3D MACD or RSI confirmation.
Excluded: Fisher. 2W MACD/RSI are context only. 3D Extended (>80 while still bullish) is not automatically a sell signal.